The Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Modeler (STEM) Project

About STEM

STEM Banner

The Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Modeler (STEM) tool is designed to help scientists and public health officials create and use spatial and temporal models of emerging infectious diseases. These models can aid in understanding and potentially preventing the spread of such diseases.

Policymakers responsible for strategies to contain disease and prevent epidemics need an accurate understanding of disease dynamics and the likely outcomes of preventive actions. In an increasingly connected world with extremely efficient global transportation links, the vectors of infection can be quite complex. STEM facilitates the development of advanced mathematical models, the creation of flexible models involving multiple populations (species) and interactions between diseases, and a better understanding of epidemiology.

STEM is designed to make it easy for developers and researchers to plug in their choice of models. It comes with spatiotemporal Susceptible/Infectious/Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible/Exposed/Infectious/Recovered (SEIR) models pre-coded with both deterministic and stochastic variations. STEM simulates the models using numerical ordinary differential equation solvers (two solver options are currently available) and outputs the results to a range of sources, for instance a map view or the file system.

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Getting Started

Resources

Downloadable Scenarios
 Please Read-me first  Installation Instructions
 Documentation  To Learn more about the downloadable scenarios please see the tutorials on the STEM wiki
 (New)Salmonella  In this example the spread of Salmonella from farm to fork is demonstrated for the production and consumption of pork in Germany based on findings from the scientific literature.
 (New)Population data replay demo  In this demo, we read mosquito population data from the external file system and use it to drive a model of Malaria in Thailand

...more Downloadable Scenarios
Recent Publications
Hu K, Thoens C, Bianco S, Edlund S, Davis M, Douglas J, and Kaufman JH., 21 Feb 2013 The effect of antibody-dependent enhancement, cross immunity, and vector population on the dynamics of dengue fever. 
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 319:62–74, , doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.11.021

Edlund S, Davis M, Douglas JV, Kershenbaum A, Waraporn N, Lessler J, Kaufman JH.A global model of malaria climate sensitivity: comparing malaria response to historic climate data based on simulation and officially reported malaria incidence. 
Malaria Journal 2012, 11:331 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-11-331.

...more Publications
Upcoming (and recent) talks
Hu, K., et al.Modeling the Dynamics of Dengue Fever 
The 2013 International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP 2013): Washington D.C.

Edlund, S.Tooling in support of a collaborative platform for developing and sharing epidemic models and data 
2012 NIH Summit on the Science of Eliminating Health Disparities

Edlund S., Davis, M., Kaufman, J.Extending Geospatial Data to Support Epidemiological Modeling 
ACM SIGSPATIAL GIS'12

Kaufman JH (presenter), Davis M, Douglas JV, Edlund S, Hu K, Filter M, Wigger J-F, Thoens C, Weiser AA, Kaesbohrer A, Appel B.The SpatioTemporal Epidemiological Modeler: an open source framework for modeling food-borne disease. 
ISVEE 13, Maastricht

Falenski A (presenter), Thoens C, Filter M, Kaesbohrer A, Appel B, Kaufman JH, Edlund S, Davis M, Douglas JV, Hu K.A community resource for spatial, temporal and food chain epidemiological modelling to assess risks in bio-terroristic or agro-terroristic crisis situations. 
ISVEE 13, Maastricht

...more talks